Energy Bills Are Falling in April. But is £10 a Month Really Relief?

26 February 2026

Paul Francis

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After years of eye-watering energy costs, Ofgem has confirmed that household bills will fall by around 7 per cent from April 2026. The headline figure sounds promising. In political terms, it is being framed as evidence that pressure on households is finally easing.

Gas stove with blue flames on lit burners, set against a dark background. The mood is warm and practical. No text visible.

But when translated into real terms, the average saving comes to roughly £10 per month for a typical household. That makes this less of a breakthrough and more of a modest adjustment.

So what is actually driving the reduction, who benefits, and how significant is it in the wider cost-of-living picture?

Why Prices Are Coming Down

The fall in the price cap is not the result of a sudden collapse in global energy markets. Instead, it is largely the product of a policy reshuffle combined with a partial easing of wholesale gas prices.

In the Autumn Budget, the government confirmed that certain policy costs would no longer be loaded directly onto household energy bills. The Energy Company Obligation scheme has been scrapped, and some environmental and policy-related charges are being moved into general taxation instead.

That accounting shift reduces the visible cost of energy on a household bill, particularly electricity. It does not mean those costs disappear entirely, but they are redistributed across the tax system rather than applied directly to usage.

At the same time, wholesale gas prices have fallen from the extreme highs seen in the immediate aftermath of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. While markets remain volatile, they are not at crisis levels. Because UK electricity pricing is closely linked to gas generation costs, lower wholesale prices feed into the price cap calculation.

Together, these changes bring the typical annual dual-fuel bill under the cap down from around £1,758 to approximately £1,641.

It is a movement in the right direction. But it is important to understand what it is and what it is not.

Who Actually Benefits From the Reduction

The 7 per cent drop primarily applies to households on standard variable tariffs governed by Ofgem’s price cap. Millions of people are still on these tariffs, either by choice or because they rolled off fixed deals during the height of the energy crisis.

If you are on a fixed tariff, the picture is more complicated. Some suppliers may reflect the policy cost changes in revised offers, but the headline reduction is specifically tied to the cap calculation. Fixed deals do not automatically track it.

Even among households on the price cap, savings will vary. The reduction is weighted more heavily toward electricity unit rates than gas. That means households that use more electricity relative to gas may see a slightly larger benefit. Those who rely predominantly on gas heating may notice a smaller shift.

Payment method also plays a role. Customers paying by direct debit tend to have lower capped bills than those paying quarterly by cash or cheque. Prepayment customers may see marginally different outcomes again.

The widely quoted £10 per month figure is based on a “typical” household using 11,500 kilowatt hours of gas and 2,700 kilowatt hours of electricity per year. Real households rarely fit that exact model.

Still Far Above Pre-Crisis Levels

Context is everything.

Before the energy crisis triggered by geopolitical tensions and wholesale market shocks, a typical household bill sat closer to £1,200 per year. Even after April’s reduction, the cap will remain roughly a third higher than those pre-2022 levels.

During the peak of the crisis, bills soared far beyond £4,000 under the cap before government intervention limited what households actually paid. The current drop does not represent a return to those earlier norms. It represents a step down from crisis territory to something closer to a new baseline.

Network costs are also rising. Maintaining and upgrading the UK’s energy infrastructure, including cables, pipelines and grid reinforcement, is adding pressure to bills. While some policy charges are being moved off bills, infrastructure investment is pushing in the opposite direction.

The result is a system where some costs fall, and others rise, leaving only a modest net saving for households.

The Broader Cost of Living Picture

Energy does not exist in isolation. While bills are set to fall in April, other household costs are moving upward.

Water bills are rising in some regions. Council tax increases are coming into effect. Food prices, although less volatile than in recent years, remain elevated compared to pre-pandemic levels.

For many families, a £10 reduction in energy costs may simply offset increases elsewhere. It is unlikely to feel like a meaningful financial turning point.

There is also the issue of accumulated debt. UK households collectively owe energy suppliers billions of pounds in arrears built up during the crisis years. For those struggling with repayment plans, the April reduction offers some breathing space but does not fundamentally change the affordability challenge.

Is This Something to Celebrate?

There is a temptation in political messaging to frame any reduction as a major victory. And it is fair to say that falling bills are better than rising ones.

However, the scale of the change matters. A 7 per cent drop sounds substantial until it is translated into monthly cash terms. For many households, £10 per month will be welcome but hardly transformative.

This is not a reset to cheap energy. It is a modest correction after an extraordinary period of price inflation.

Energy bills are falling, but they remain structurally higher than they were before the Ukraine war reshaped global energy markets. The pressure has eased slightly, yet the squeeze has not disappeared.

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China's Economic Slowdown: A Ripple Effect on the Global Economy

Connor Banks
Aug 12, 2024
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China, once the world’s economic powerhouse, is now facing a significant slowdown with profound implications for the global economy. This deceleration, driven by a combination of internal structural issues and external pressures, is causing concern among economists and business leaders worldwide.

The Roots of the Slowdown

The decline of China’s once-thriving property sector is a major factor in this economic downturn. The real estate market, which used to contribute as much as 25% to the country’s GDP, has seen a sharp decline due to a combination of oversupply, falling prices, and mounting debt. As property developers struggle, the effects are being felt across the economy, from construction firms to local governments that relied heavily on land sales for revenue.

Adding to the woes, China’s shift towards “high-quality growth”—a strategy focused on innovation and advanced productivity—has been slower and more challenging than anticipated. While sectors such as electric vehicles and green technology hold promise, the transition has been hampered by geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions. These challenges have slowed the expected economic transformation, leaving the country in a precarious position.

Global Economy Impact: A Chain Reaction

China’s economic slowdown is not just a domestic issue; it has significant global repercussions. As the second-largest economy in the world, China’s reduced demand for commodities is already affecting global prices. Countries such as Australia, which relies heavily on iron ore exports to China, are feeling the pinch as demand weakens. Similarly, Germany, a major exporter of industrial machinery to China, is witnessing a slowdown in its manufacturing sector.

Emerging markets, many of which have deep economic ties with China, are also vulnerable. Reduced Chinese investment and trade could lead to slower growth in these regions, exacerbating economic challenges and potentially leading to financial instability. Countries that have borrowed heavily from China, particularly under the Belt and Road Initiative, may face increased pressure to service their debts as China’s own economy tightens.

Financial Markets and Global Growth

The slowdown in China is causing ripples in global financial markets. Investors, wary of the potential for a more severe downturn, are pulling back from assets tied to Chinese growth. This has led to increased volatility in global markets, particularly in sectors heavily dependent on Chinese demand, such as commodities and technology.

Moreover, China’s reduced growth is likely to drag down global economic expansion. Even at lower growth rates, China’s contribution to global GDP is significant. A continued slowdown could therefore result in lower global growth, affecting employment, government revenues, and overall economic stability worldwide.

The Road Ahead

While China’s economic challenges are significant, they are not insurmountable. However, addressing them will require careful management of both domestic policies and international relations. The Chinese government faces the difficult task of rebalancing the economy away from property-driven growth towards more sustainable sectors, all while managing growing geopolitical tensions with major economic powers such as the United States and Europe.

For the global economy, China’s slowdown serves as a reminder of the interconnectedness of our world. What happens in Beijing and Shanghai has far-reaching effects, influencing everything from commodity prices in Australia to investment decisions on Wall Street. As China navigates this challenging period, the world will be watching closely, hoping that the country can steer its economy back to a stable and sustainable growth path.